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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3f56eeae91471737f45fe04a7ac253be9fc55860-1794026268735BreakTheBankfantasy7788Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)100% (2–0, n=2)75% (596–198, n=794)
Consensus PnL—$779K$245K$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #771PM monthly #1PM monthly #83PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (11 of 20 open)no open consensus position59% (123 of 207 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Soccer −8 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)0%34% (won 10% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)50% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 29% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)50% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 55% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)0%34% (won 83% of 30)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3f56eeae91471737f45fe04a7ac253be9fc55860-1794026268735BreakTheBankfantasy7788Flaznorp
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $28K—76ers $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $25K—Suns $687
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $8.8K—Suns $293
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $6.4K—Magic $250
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $456—Suns $4.8K
Celtics vs. 76ers
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $146K—Celtics $14K
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $5.0K—Kings $11
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $744—Celtics $865
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $411—Celtics $729