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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3f56eeae91471737f45fe04a7ac253be9fc55860-1794026268735 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | gmpm2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 75% (596–198, n=794) | 50% (2–2, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $779K | $19K | -$6.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #771 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #71 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 58% (118 of 204 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 6% (won 32% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 29% (won 48% of 97) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 45% (won 55% of 150) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 21% (won 80% of 71) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3f56eeae91471737f45fe04a7ac253be9fc55860-1794026268735 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | gmpm2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $36K | Suns $687 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $28K | 76ers $710 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $13K | Suns $269 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $6.4K | Magic $250 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $694 | Suns $4.8K | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $147K | Celtics $15K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $5.0K | Kings $11 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $744 | Celtics $935 | — |