PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x333e8f4fb0353ef31cf1a7d00789e1319381369bRN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)95% (69–4, n=73)48% (12136–12968, n=25104)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (13646–13770, n=27416)
Consensus PnL$10K$13.4M$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #15 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus100% (19 of 19 open)47% (9 of 19 open)100% (2 of 2 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won98% of 149 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)10% (won 56% of 2478)3% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 94% of 5361)29% (won 56% of 62)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 99% of 8705)54% (won 51% of 115)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 99% of 147)31% (won 100% of 7425)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x333e8f4fb0353ef31cf1a7d00789e1319381369bRN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
—Daniil Ostapenkov $5—Liam Draxl $45
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $28K—Jerome Kym $789
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $6.4K—No $365
Queretaro: Polona Hercog vs Valeriya Strakhova
same side · consensus Valeriya Strakhova
—Polona Hercog $2.4K—Polona Hercog $21
W100 New Braunfels, TX: Madison Brengle vs Yuki Naito
same side · consensus Yuki Naito
—Yuki Naito $439—Yuki Naito $14
W100 New Braunfels, TX: Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma
same side · consensus Sloane Stephens
—Sloane Stephens $17—Sloane Stephens $238