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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465l..messiRN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)57% (1110–846, n=1956)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$84K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #14was PM monthly #787PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (15 of 30 open)0% (0 of 1 open)53% (39 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)28% (won 12% of 436)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)10% (won 38% of 160)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)15% (won 75% of 225)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)47% (won 97% of 716)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465l..messiRN1
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Texans
Texans $233K—Texans $8.5K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $145KBilibili Gaming $60—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $616—Yes $16K