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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | juice-fruit | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 67% (354–171, n=525) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $152K | -$102K | $3.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #32 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #38 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (51 of 96 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | Geopolitics −3 pts, n=44 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 52% of 108 at avg 53¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 12% of 26) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 21% (won 43% of 23) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 19% (won 60% of 20) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 36% (won 79% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | juice-fruit | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $8.5K | — | Knicks $4.0K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | — | Bucks $267 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $25K | — | Celtics $7.1K | — |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $13K | — | Marcos Giron $10K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $3.9K | — | 76ers $207 | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $70 | — | Miami (OH) $386 | — |