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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | crazyoddslover | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 33% (1–2, n=3) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 74% (431–152, n=583) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $1.4K | $245K | $56K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (7 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 71% (140 of 198 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 4 at avg 64¢, ROI −56% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 29% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 75% (won 67% of 3) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 55% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 25% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 34% (won 83% of 30) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | crazyoddslover | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | — | Jazz $203 |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.9K | — | — | Under $3.2K |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.3K | — | — | Heat $551 |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $890 | — | — | Over $1.6K |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | — | — | Under $521 |
| Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo same side · consensus Marko Topo | Dali Blanch $31 | — | — | Dali Blanch $203 |