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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) | 75% (80–26, n=106) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #841 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 58% (90 of 154 open) | 63% (10 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 11% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 7% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 11% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 70% (won 95% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $218 | Yes $11 | Yes $10 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $200K | Yes $18K | Yes $10 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $128K | No $9.1K | — |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $60K | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7K | Casper Ruud $6.7K | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.3K | Under $10 | — |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | Yes $10 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $530 | Over $501 | — |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $81 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $213 | — |
| Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $98 | — | Yes $10 |
| Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $23 | Yes $10 |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | PFK CSKA Sofia $17 | Panathinaikós AO $4 | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | No $28K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | No $20K | — |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $6.5K | Under $76 | — |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.7K | Yes $10 |
| Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $683 | Yes $10 |
| Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $38 | No $157 | — |