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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3322, n=7858) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 48% (14165–15642, n=29807) | 71% (94–39, n=133) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #849 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 42% (10 of 24 open) | 25% (3 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 14% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 8% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 12% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 66% (won 95% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala | Antonia Ruzic $7.4K | — | Alexandra Eala $46K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $53K | — | — |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Magda Linette | Mai Hontama $724 | — | Mai Hontama $6.2K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |