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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465J-E-RRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)55% (4837–4036, n=8873)44% (159–201, n=360)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$8.1M$35K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #14was PM monthly #418PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)74% (45 of 61 open)55% (33 of 60 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +5 pts n=54, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Elections −1 pts, n=78—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%28% of 378 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)70% (won 4% of 263)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)4% (won 53% of 15)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)6% (won 70% of 23)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)20% (won 92% of 77)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465J-E-RRN1S-Works
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5.0K—Over $5.0K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.6K—Yes $2.2K—
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $177KNo $24——
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Falcons $35K—Falcons $1.6K—
Bengals vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Bengals
Bengals $19K—Bengals $5.3K—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $8.8K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.6KNo $22——