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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmUser1244322
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)48% (43–46, n=89)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$3.6M-$492K
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #22PM monthly #51was PM monthly #844
Sides with the consensus70% (19 of 27 open)68% (228 of 335 open)67% (26 of 39 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmUser1244322
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902Eastern Michigan $60Eastern Michigan $417—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $673—Over $3.0K
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $429Hornets $3.2K——
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0KBulls $156——
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0KGrizzlies $649——
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $39976ers $891——
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $108KThunder $3.6K——
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
76ers $90K76ers $7.6K——
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $20KSacramento State $215——
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $16KSuns $2.5K——
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $4.4KThunder $8.5K——
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $9.3KSpurs $51——
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6KRaptors $379——
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $6Pacers $3.6K——
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3KCeltics $1.3K——
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $156Timberwolves $120——