← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | 74% (427–151, n=578) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$380K | $58K | — | $0 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #158 | PM monthly #212 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 70% (105 of 150 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | Crypto −11 pts, n=16 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 73% of 146 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 14% (won 29% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 10% (won 50% of 14) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 12% (won 65% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 64% (won 88% of 94) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | Under $953 | — | — |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | Over $287 | — | — |