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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighTan4321
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)75% (735–246, n=981)44% (193–241, n=434)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$304K$68K$16K—
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #45was PM monthly #990
Sides with the consensus33% (3 of 9 open)66% (57 of 87 open)67% (10 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)—
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)—
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)—
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighTan4321
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $166KG2 $9G2 $4.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KCasper Ruud $5.2K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights
opposite sides · consensus LG Sakers
—Seoul Knights $1.8KLG Sakers $827—
LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: O/U 166.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $748Over $10—
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus MOUZ
G2 $34K—G2 $7.7K—
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $138—Jurij Rodionov $21K—
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
G2 $53—G2 $12K—
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $1.2KSumit Nagal $9.5K—
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
same side · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $631Marianna Argyrokastriti $560—