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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$5.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #17PM monthly #1PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)63% (150 of 237 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $251——
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444—Ball State $18
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270KNo $40K——
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $267KNo $2.0K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $25KOver $17K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4KArthur Fils $5.6K——
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $160Under $2.5K——
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $40——