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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpKaczkasainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)52% (428–399, n=827)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$15K—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #17was PM monthly #997—
Sides with the consensus52% (14 of 27 open)67% (308 of 461 open)100% (5 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +28 pts n=415, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 68% of 25)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 72% of 121)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)62% (won 88% of 340)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)11% (won 92% of 60)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpKaczkasainttroplay
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $420Tom Gentzsch $902Tom Gentzsch $53—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Alexander Zverev $12KLorenzo Musetti $20K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
Thiago Agustin Tirante $14KJan-Lennard Struff $10K——
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $251——
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270KNo $40K——
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $267KNo $2.0K——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $87KNo $101K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $25KOver $17K——
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $16KNo $15K——
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8KNo $26K——
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $315No $18K——
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $4.3KLaura Samson $2.2K——
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $160Under $2.5K——
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $40——