Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$634K$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #57PM monthly #1PM monthly #146
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)62% (87 of 141 open)no open consensus position74% (35 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Golf −2 pts, n=108—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 19% of 1341)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 46% of 3607)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 61% of 3523)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)17% (won 86% of 1699)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677ndb1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $265KYes $2.1K—No $234K
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $626—Yes $420
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $65—Yes $529
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1—Yes $160
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1—Yes $121
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86KNo $17K——
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $286—Yes $62K
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3K—No $6
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $275—No $2.4K
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $700—Yes $3
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1—Yes $454
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $26—No $5