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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | robustmst | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 41% (12–17, n=29) | 68% (34–16, n=50) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | $779K | $208K | $687 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #29 | PM monthly #741 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (13 of 21 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (10 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% | 89% of 36 at avg 69¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 50% of 4) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 65% (won 78% of 36) | 14% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 29% (won 94% of 16) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 4% (won 50% of 2) | 53% (won 100% of 19) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | robustmst | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $32K | Celtics $142K | — | 76ers $287 |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $6.1K | Clippers $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $3.4K | Celtics $28K | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | Clippers $417 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | Celtics $228 | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $45K | — | — | Heat $119 |