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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | qinlaoban | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | no settled market | 50% (3–3, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | $779K | — | -$7.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #153 | PM monthly #770 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 33% (6 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 5 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 100% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | qinlaoban |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $169K | Kings $53 | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $114K | Trail Blazers $2.9K | — | — |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $21K | Ciryl Gane $49K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $7.5K | Clippers $2.0K | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.7K | Clippers $6 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) same side · consensus Heat | Jazz $10K | — | — | Jazz $1.6K |