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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | SingW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 37% (1165–1986, n=3151) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | $14.9M | -$81K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | was PM monthly #882 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (13 of 26 open) | 89% (33 of 37 open) | 57% (39 of 69 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 74% of 1448 at avg 40¢, ROI +14% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 27% (won 41% of 390) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 37% (won 83% of 534) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 34% (won 88% of 487) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 3% (won 92% of 37) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | SingW |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini opposite sides · consensus Luisina Giovannini | Tatjana Maria $14K | — | Luisina Giovannini $51K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | Clement Tabur $44K | — | Clement Tabur $25K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry | Max Dahlin $2.9K | — | Max Dahlin $1.9K | — |
| Wizards vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $3.6K | — | Pistons $201 | — |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch | Max Houkes $1 | — | Max Houkes $698 | — |