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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3300, n=7820) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 74% (629–219, n=848) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $8.3K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #925 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 59% (10 of 17 open) | 65% (94 of 145 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 21% (won 15% of 92) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 8% (won 44% of 34) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 7% (won 87% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 64% (won 95% of 284) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $56K | Yes $197 | — |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $58K | — | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $63K | Yes $9.6K | — |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | — | — | No $14K |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | — | Under $6 |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $11 | — | — | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $8.4K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.6K | — | — | Under $8 |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $204 | — | — | Yes $12 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $206K | — | — | Yes $18K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | — | — | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $43K | — | — | No $20K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | — | Yes $201 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $95 | — | Yes $373 | — |
| Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $38 | — | — | No $166 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $49 | — | — | No $79 |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | PFK CSKA Sofia $17 | — | — | PFK CSKA Sofia $43 |