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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorppvc975
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)99% (17437–260, n=17697)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$3.5M$87K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #3PM monthly #24was PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus71% (12 of 17 open)86% (24 of 28 open)68% (227 of 333 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Crypto ±0 pts, n=286
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 10% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)0% (won 82% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)0% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)99% (won 100% of 10766)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorppvc975
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $48K——
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $49—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $812—No $4.5K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $511—No $2.4K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $1.2K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $3.5K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $2.7K—
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $12—No $921—