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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpSingW
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M$9.4M$3.3M—
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #794
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)59% (17 of 29 open)66% (226 of 343 open)0% (0 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpSingW
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $6Grizzlies $218KPacers $4.1K—
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
76ers $90KPistons $90K76ers $7.3K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3KCeltics $880Celtics $1.3K—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $19KPelicans $899—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $14KBucks $2.4K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $9.7K—Lakers $606—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0K—Bulls $156—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0K—Grizzlies $522—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $399—76ers $885—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902—Eastern Michigan $60—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $768—Lakers $31—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $357Pacers $405—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $108K—Thunder $3.2K—
Raptors vs. Nuggets
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $73K—Nuggets $2.8K—
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $16K—Suns $2.3K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $11K—Sacramento State $215—
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $9.3K—Spurs $51—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6K—Raptors $379—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $54—Over $2.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $442Pistons $1.5K—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $82—Over $799—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Timberwolves $237—Timberwolves $131—