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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AlegrandebigFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3325, n=7861)93% (1481–114, n=1595)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$7.8M-$8.1K$3.6M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #839PM monthly #11PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus63% (15 of 24 open)97% (30 of 31 open)74% (156 of 211 open)71% (52 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Finance −2 pts, n=113Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 1370 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)2% (won 12% of 33)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)3% (won 46% of 41)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)4% (won 62% of 50)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)91% (won 99% of 1246)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AlegrandebigFlaznorpndb1
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $238—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.2K—No $1.8K—
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.5K—Under $936—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494—
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $138K—Carlos Alcaraz $1.4K—
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $5—No $42K
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $781—No $29K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $3.4K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $499—Yes $529