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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)76% (430–136, n=566)100% (3–0, n=3)43% (165–222, n=387)
Consensus PnL$52K$260K$42K
Tracked asPM monthly #601PM monthly #79PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensus85% (28 of 33 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (18 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 56 at avg 76¢, ROI +23%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 1)0%6% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 7)50% (won 100% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 12)50% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 100% of 36)0%12% (won 100% of 18)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $4.3K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Thunder $2.1K—Trail Blazers $47
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $774—Under $730
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $10—Over $1.2K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $311—Under $75
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $2.6K—Trail Blazers $6.8K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.3K—Over $2.8K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $1.7K—Trail Blazers $77
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $1.6K—Thunder $137
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $744—Trail Blazers $636
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $822—Over $265
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $38—Under $25