Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)66% (3087–1603, n=4690)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$213K$3.6M$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus78% (14 of 18 open)74% (119 of 160 open)no open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 58)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 159)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 361)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1156)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $89Over $1.1K——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $468No $596——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $775Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $13K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $8No $14K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $4.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.7KUnder $2.6K——
McNeese State Cowboys vs. North Texas Mean Green
same side · consensus North Texas Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green $1.8KNorth Texas Mean Green $450——
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
same side · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores $1.7KVanderbilt Commodores $463——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4KUnder $361——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $414Yes $466——
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $393Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——