Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)66% (3087–1603, n=4690)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$213K$3.6M$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus79% (19 of 24 open)71% (129 of 181 open)no open consensus position69% (59 of 86 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 58)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 159)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 361)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1156)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $89Over $1.1K——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $468No $596——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $775Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Merrimack College Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Merrimack College Warriors
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks $367Merrimack College Warriors $8——
Georgia State Panthers vs. Charlotte 49ers
opposite sides · consensus Charlotte 49ers
Charlotte 49ers $88Georgia State Panthers $36——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $13K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $8No $14K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $4.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.7KUnder $2.6K——
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
same side · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores $4.1KVanderbilt Commodores $954——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4KUnder $361——
Cornell Big Red vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
same side · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Lehigh Mountain Hawks $738Lehigh Mountain Hawks $206——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $414Yes $466——
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $355Rider Broncs $261——
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $393Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——
Bryant Bulldogs vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats
same side · consensus Quinnipiac Bobcats
Quinnipiac Bobcats $349Quinnipiac Bobcats $65——
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
same side · consensus Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions $41Penn State Nittany Lions $132——