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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)69% (1732–778, n=2510)35% (3647–6649, n=10296)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)
Consensus PnL$146K$3.0M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #158PM monthly #106PM monthly #10PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)86% (6 of 7 open)74% (81 of 109 open)48% (10 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +34 pts n=379, ROI +6%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=497, ROI +25%
  • NFL +27 pts n=65, ROI +9%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won99% of 1297 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 87% of 76)—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 163)—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 300)—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 758)—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13KOver $1.6K
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $4.0KYosuke Watanuki $5.7KYosuke Watanuki $16K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
——Diletta Cherubini $282Ipek Oz $680
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $7.0KClaire Liu $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus Natus Vincere
—Natus Vincere $4.3KNatus Vincere $12—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42