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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | gmpm2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 75% (633–207, n=840) | 50% (2–2, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.2K | $779K | $24K | -$6.1K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #362 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 33% (6 of 18 open) | 58% (118 of 203 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI −34% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 6% (won 32% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 29% (won 48% of 97) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 45% (won 55% of 150) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 21% (won 80% of 71) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | gmpm2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $2 | Suns $31K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $4.5K | Magic $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $3.5K | Magic $34 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $2.0K | Suns $848 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $254 | Suns $345 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $212K | Trail Blazers $2.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $138 | Kings $40 | — |