No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #362 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #362
Record (90 d)
7/10 · 70%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
9 settled consensus markets · held side won 67% at an average entry of 81¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 22%(won 0% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 78%(won 86% of 7)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.