LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

2 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Anyone's Legend (29%) · Anyone's Legend at 69¢ · $2K held · ends Oct 27

Team Liquid32¢Anyone's Legend68¢Ends Tue, Oct 27, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Anyone's Legend

Consensus Traders

Anyone's Legend 29%

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$31.52

Smart Money Entry

68.1¢ → 68.5¢

+1% since entry · 2 traders

Research grade

NeutralAnyone's Legend at 69%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)0.70–0.90 was about break-even after costs, +0.4 % a trade (n 4,327); 0.60–0.95 with 70 %+ and $10k+ +2.9 % (n 955). The consensus beats its price by 2–3 points here, about what the costs take.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Anyone's Legend

2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Team Liquid32%

Anyone's Legend69%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Anyone's Legend2 traders

Total Value$934.11

Total Shares1,354

Combined PnL+$12.74

Team Liquid5 traders

Total Value$641.88

Total Shares2,112

Combined PnL+$18.78

Anyone's Legend — 29%Team Liquid — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VI vibing123	Anyone's Legendavg 68¢	$866.28	$879.02	+$12.74	57% 1281-982 (2263)
VeryLucky888CTR	Team Liquidavg 29¢	$290	$300	+$10	58% 31334-22653 (53987)
DA dancingmonkey1CTR	Team Liquidavg 29.7¢	$167.01	$168.9	+$1.89	54% 1175-1012 (2187)
HU humbleboyCTR	Team Liquidavg 30¢	$295.82	$93.18	+$4.44	54% 398-333 (731)
DA darkumbreon88<$100	Anyone's Legendavg 69¢	$55.09	$55.09	-$0	65% 1520-814 (2334)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100	Team Liquidavg 29¢	$52.84	$54.67	+$2.73	69% 4202-1899 (6101)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Team Liquidavg 30.4¢	$25.41	$25.13	-$0.29	65% 6456-3411 (9867)

vibing123

Anyone's Legend

Invested

$866.28

Value

$879.02

PnL

+$12.74

Record

57%

1281-982 (2263)

VeryLucky888CTR

Team Liquid

Invested

$290

Value

$300

PnL

+$10

Record

58%

31334-22653 (53987)

dancingmonkey1CTR

Team Liquid

Invested

$167.01

Value

$168.9

PnL

+$1.89

Record

54%

1175-1012 (2187)

humbleboyCTR

Team Liquid

Invested

$295.82

Value

$93.18

PnL

+$4.44

Record

54%

398-333 (731)

darkumbreon88<$100

Anyone's Legend

Invested

$55.09

Value

$55.09

PnL

-$0

Record

65%

1520-814 (2334)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100

Team Liquid

Invested

$52.84

Value

$54.67

PnL

+$2.73

Record

69%

4202-1899 (6101)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Team Liquid

Invested

$25.41

Value

$25.13

PnL

-$0.29

Record

65%

6456-3411 (9867)

Research grade

NeutralAnyone's Legend at 69%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)0.70–0.90 was about break-even after costs, +0.4 % a trade (n 4,327); 0.60–0.95 with 70 %+ and $10k+ +2.9 % (n 955). The consensus beats its price by 2–3 points here, about what the costs take.

Smart Money Signal

Anyone's Legend

2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Anyone's Legend wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance70.6%

68.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$41.72

Max Loss

-$100.00

141.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.