LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

3 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Dplus KIA (50%) · Dplus KIA at 77¢ · $28K held · ends Oct 26

Dplus KIA77¢Movistar KOI23¢Ends Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

💧

Weak

Dplus KIA

Consensus Traders

Dplus KIA 50%

Total Value

$28.0K

Combined PnL

$46.56

Smart Money Entry

76¢ → 76.5¢

+1% since entry · 3 traders

Smart Money Signal

Dplus KIA

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Dplus KIA77%

Movistar KOI24%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Dplus KIA3 traders

Total Value$22.0K

Total Shares28,967

Combined PnL+$59.67

Movistar KOI3 traders

Total Value$6.0K

Total Shares25,217

Combined PnL-$13.12

Dplus KIA — 50%Movistar KOI — 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 97%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 40/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

50% of non-arb traders are on Dplus KIA. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 97% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

The hand-picked list (1 on Movistar KOI) and the top 1000 (5 on Dplus KIA) disagree here.

sharpMovistar KOI 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrMovistar KOI 60% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedMovistar KOI 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Dplus KIA 60% · 5

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DR drunkdegenerate	Dplus KIAavg 76¢	$13.7K	$13.7K	-$0	55% 182-150 (332)
VI vibing123	Dplus KIAavg 76¢	$7.6K	$7.6K	+$50	58% 1273-911 (2184)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR	Movistar KOIavg 24¢	$4.8K	$4.8K	+$0	47% 1949-2172 (4121)
VeryLucky888CTR	Movistar KOIavg 23.9¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	-$16.52	58% 31291-22609 (53900)
DA dancingmonkey1	Dplus KIAavg 75¢	$725.45	$735.12	+$9.67	54% 1175-1012 (2187)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR	Movistar KOIavg 23.3¢	$121.59	$124.99	+$3.4	69% 4193-1893 (6086)

drunkdegenerate

Dplus KIA

Invested

$13,679.99

Value

$13.7K

PnL

-$0

Record

55%

182-150 (332)

vibing123

Dplus KIA

Invested

$7,600

Value

$7.6K

PnL

+$50

Record

58%

1273-911 (2184)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR

Movistar KOI

Invested

$4,800

Value

$4.8K

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

1949-2172 (4121)

VeryLucky888CTR

Movistar KOI

Invested

$1,120.05

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$16.52

Record

58%

31291-22609 (53900)

dancingmonkey1

Dplus KIA

Invested

$725.45

Value

$735.12

PnL

+$9.67

Record

54%

1175-1012 (2187)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR

Movistar KOI

Invested

$121.59

Value

$124.99

PnL

+$3.4

Record

69%

4193-1893 (6086)

Smart Money Signal

Dplus KIA

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 97%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 40/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

50% of non-arb traders are on Dplus KIA. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 97% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

The hand-picked list (1 on Movistar KOI) and the top 1000 (5 on Dplus KIA) disagree here.

sharpMovistar KOI 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrMovistar KOI 60% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedMovistar KOI 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Dplus KIA 60% · 5

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Dplus KIA wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance78.4%

76.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$27.60

Max Loss

-$100.00

127.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.