Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

5 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Spirit (83%) · Spirit at 91¢ · $40K held · ends Oct 25

Spirit91¢TYLOO9¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Spirit

Consensus Traders

Spirit 83%

Total Value

$40.0K

Combined PnL

$539.06

Smart Money Entry

90.4¢ → 90.5¢

+0% since entry · 5 traders

Smart Money Signal

Spirit

5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Spirit91%

TYLOO10%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Spirit5 traders

Total Value$39.8K

Total Shares43,417

Combined PnL+$538.04

TYLOO1 trader

Total Value$200.4

Total Shares2,505

Combined PnL+$1.02

Spirit — 83%TYLOO — 17%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 85%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 55/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

80% of non-arb traders are on Spirit. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 85% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpSpirit 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrSpirit 50% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Spirit 80% · 5

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RE retordedgremlin125	Spiritavg 91¢	$20.0K	$20.2K	+$220	64% 81-46 (127)
OJ ojgtubvdt	Spiritavg 89¢	$8.9K	$9.0K	+$150	62% 579-358 (937)
JI jiafan	Spiritavg 90.8¢	$7.9K	$8.0K	+$100.75	61% 1293-819 (2112)
SU suleng66	Spiritavg 89.3¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	+$49.35	64% 179-102 (281)
DA darkumbreon88	Spiritavg 88¢	$448.95	$469.44	+$17.94	65% 1519-811 (2330)
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR	TYLOOavg 9¢	$199.38	$200.4	+$1.02	54% 100-86 (186)

retordedgremlin125

Spirit

Invested

$20,020

Value

$20.2K

PnL

+$220

Record

64%

81-46 (127)

ojgtubvdt

Spirit

Invested

$8,899.99

Value

$9.0K

PnL

+$150

Record

62%

579-358 (937)

jiafan

Spirit

Invested

$7,873.11

Value

$8.0K

PnL

+$100.75

Record

61%

1293-819 (2112)

suleng66

Spirit

Invested

$2,000

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$49.35

Record

64%

179-102 (281)

darkumbreon88

Spirit

Invested

$448.95

Value

$469.44

PnL

+$17.94

Record

65%

1519-811 (2330)

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR

TYLOO

Invested

$199.38

Value

$200.4

PnL

+$1.02

Record

54%

100-86 (186)

Smart Money Signal

Spirit

5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 85%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 55/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

80% of non-arb traders are on Spirit. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 85% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpSpirit 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrSpirit 50% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Spirit 80% · 5

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Spirit wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance91.9%

90.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.4¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$8.83

Max Loss

-$100.00

108.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.