Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A
2 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Team Liquid (40%) · Team Liquid at 56¢ · $10K held · ends Oct 25
💧
Weak
Team Liquid
5
Team Liquid 40%
$10.3K
$14.12
56.9¢ → 55.5¢
-2% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
2 traders
Top 2 hold 100%
Freshness
Fresh
2h old
Late Entry
Low
Score 10/100
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
40% of non-arb traders are on Team Liquid. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GE GeorgeRe | Team Liquidavg 57¢ | $5.2K | $5.1K | -$136.65 | 53% 1003-873 (1876) |
TR TrippleEXCTR | OGavg 43¢ | $4.3K | $4.5K | +$150.01 | 57% 265-199 (464) |
UN UNIVERSEMVP | Team Liquidavg 55.6¢ | $351.39 | $350.58 | -$0.81 | 67% 37-18 (55) |
NA NatoAlfistaCTR | OGavg 45¢ | $310.23 | $310.23 | +$0 | 65% 2682-1438 (4120) |
 PROBABILITYTRADERCTR<$100 | OGavg 42.6¢ | $34.81 | $36.38 | +$1.57 | 42% 1005-1363 (2368) |
Invested
$5,192.7
Value
$5.1K
PnL
-$136.65
Record
53%
1003-873 (1876)
Invested
$4,300
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$150.01
Record
57%
265-199 (464)
Invested
$351.39
Value
$350.58
PnL
-$0.81
Record
67%
37-18 (55)
Invested
$310.23
Value
$310.23
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
2682-1438 (4120)
PROBABILITYTRADERCTR<$100Invested
$34.81
Value
$36.38
PnL
+$1.57
Record
42%
1005-1363 (2368)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
55.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.