PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
xyz.ewwRN1omnibus-076daa0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12107–12936, n=25043)50% (13603–13729, n=27332)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$3.8K$13.4M$3.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #14 + pinnedPM monthly #18was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (20 of 27 open)48% (15 of 31 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 59% of 860)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2252)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8705)39% (won 94% of 4102)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3425)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketxyz.ewwRN1omnibus-076daa0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Astralis
—Astralis $51KInner Circle Esports $7.5K—
W35 Norman, OK: Evialina Laskevich vs Dana Guzman
opposite sides · consensus Dana Guzman
—Evialina Laskevich $173Dana Guzman $37—
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
—BetBoom Team $18KBetBoom Team $86—
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
same side · consensus BetBoom Team
—BetBoom Team $12KBetBoom Team $21—
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $268—
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $49—