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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xuxuntao | BreakTheBank | RN1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) | 48% (12150–12996, n=25146) | 50% (13659–13787, n=27446) |
| Consensus PnL | -$338 | $10.4M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 + pinned | PM monthly #25 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (27 of 40 open) | 47% (15 of 32 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 8% (won 59% of 860) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 21% (won 86% of 2252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 39% (won 94% of 4102) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 32% (won 99% of 3425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xuxuntao | BreakTheBank | RN1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | — | Blue Jackets $535 | Hurricanes $4 |
| M25 Tamworth: Anton Shepp vs Blake Ellis opposite sides · consensus Anton Shepp | — | — | Blake Ellis $147 | Anton Shepp $156 |
| Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | — | Darwin Blanch $985 | Darwin Blanch $263 |
| CR Flamengo leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $641 | Yes $14 |
| M25 Tamworth: Matthew Dellavedova vs Isaac Becroft same side · consensus Matthew Dellavedova | — | — | Matthew Dellavedova $179 | Matthew Dellavedova $38 |
| W100 New Braunfels, TX: Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao same side · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | — | Renata Zarazua $3 | Renata Zarazua $54 |