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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
warm35657sainttroplayRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12314–13195, n=25509)50% (13798–13934, n=27732)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #503was PM monthly #11PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #23
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (21 of 32 open)46% (11 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2507)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5408)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8790)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7551)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketwarm35657sainttroplayRN1omnibus-076daa
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
——Joao Lucas Da Silva $9.4KEmilio Camacho $1.7K
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $4.4KAdrian Mannarino $2.6K
Brest: Federico Cina vs Dino Prizmic
opposite sides · consensus Federico Cina
——Dino Prizmic $2.4KFederico Cina $3.7K
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
same side · consensus Nemiga
——Nemiga $4.6KNemiga $804
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus Eternal Fire
——Eternal Fire $1.2KEternal Fire $88
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $979Under $36
Courmayeur: Ayla Aksu vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
——Ayla Aksu $26Ayla Aksu $35