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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)67% (185–91, n=276)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$3.6M-$109K
Tracked asPM monthly #97PM monthly #47was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus73% (59 of 81 open)75% (3 of 4 open)45% (106 of 234 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%91% of 186 at avg 70¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 38% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)12% (won 91% of 23)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)64% (won 99% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $335K—Yes $803
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $62K—No $55