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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)67% (185–91, n=276)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$4.8M$3.6M-$109K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #97PM monthly #47was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (58 of 82 open)75% (3 of 4 open)47% (112 of 240 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%91% of 186 at avg 70¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 38% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)12% (won 91% of 23)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)64% (won 99% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $337K—Yes $803
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $62K—No $55