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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6551–6119, n=12670) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) | 67% (185–91, n=276) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $4.8M | $3.6M | -$109K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #47 | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (246 of 356 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 46% (110 of 240 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 91% of 186 at avg 70¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 11% (won 38% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 12% (won 91% of 23) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 64% (won 99% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $337K | — | Yes $803 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $62K | — | No $55 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $595 | Under $6.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | Hull City AFC $2.5K | Hull City AFC $2.9K | — | — |