Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)50% (183–182, n=365)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.8M$3.6M-$109K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #97PM monthly #54was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus62% (16 of 26 open)74% (113 of 153 open)no open consensus position54% (239 of 443 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%91% of 186 at avg 70¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 38% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)12% (won 91% of 23)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)64% (won 99% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $337K—Yes $448
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $64K—No $55
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $383—No $2.3K
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $30—No $43
Will Utah Utes Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $25