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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | wpj | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 41% (13–19, n=32) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #993 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 68% (17 of 25 open) | 61% (132 of 218 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 36% of 28 at avg 41¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 39% (won 0% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 33% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 14% (won 50% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 25% (won 86% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | wpj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $7.5K | Central Michigan $587 | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | Central Michigan $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $3.4K | Central Michigan $18 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.9K | UMass $358 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.1K | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.4K | Sacramento State $631 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $996 | Sacramento State $524 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $589 | Sacramento State $842 | — |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.0K | Under $228 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $277 | Sacramento State $466 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $198 | Sacramento State $62 | — |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $188 | Central Michigan $33 | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $4.1K | Ball State $850 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.4K | Over $182 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $2.0K | Toledo $490 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $948 | Toledo $785 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $266 | Toledo $434 | — |