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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 75% (129–43, n=172) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$6.4K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #956 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 67% (26 of 39 open) | 59% (144 of 246 open) | 91% (10 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 21% (won 4% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 4% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 70% (won 96% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $417 | Central Michigan $12K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.5K | UMass $1.0K | — |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.0K | Under $194 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $80 | Toledo $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.2K | Sacramento State $800 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $797 | Over $2.1K | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.7K | Sacramento State $765 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $1.4K | Central Michigan $815 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $298 | Sacramento State $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $984 | Central Michigan $596 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $900 | UMass $671 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $1.0K | Sacramento State $463 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $480 | UMass $457 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $243 | Sacramento State $462 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $142 | Sacramento State $176 | — |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | Central Michigan $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | UMass $3.0K | UMass $804 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | Over $179 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $2.0K | Toledo $652 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.5K | Toledo $377 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $438 | Toledo $773 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $176 | Toledo $429 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-9.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2 | Toledo $582 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $182 | Under $11 | — |