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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.
Add:BreakTheBank0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677primmFlaznorpUpTheBlues
| ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) | 47% (13877–15390, n=29267) | 69% (182–82, n=264) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.4M | $14.8M | -$96K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (106 of 151 open) | 50% (14 of 28 open) | 56% (232 of 414 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 12% (won 33% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 14% (won 84% of 25) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 12% (won 90% of 21) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 62% (won 99% of 110) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.0M | — | Yes $8 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $335K | — | Yes $853 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $64K | — | No $61 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $53 | — | No $204 |