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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 79% (148–40, n=188) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $14.8M | -$57K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 79% (19 of 24 open) | 53% (19 of 36 open) | 55% (143 of 260 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 9% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 17% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 61% (won 99% of 77) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | — | — | Yes $548 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | — | — | Yes $1.6K |