← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 67% (182–89, n=271) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $3.2M | $14.8M | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 56% (44 of 79 open) | 49% (88 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 12% (won 36% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 14% (won 92% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 62% (won 99% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $335K | — | Yes $813 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | — | — | No $1.2K |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $36K | — | Jaguars $8.2K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | — | Jaguars $2.0K | — |
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | UTSA $4.0K | — | Florida Atlantic $775 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | — | Ravens $636 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $65 | — | — | Yes $2.5K |