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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (882–468, n=1350) | 47% (13355–14864, n=28219) | 70% (165–70, n=235) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.2M | $14.8M | -$96K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 54% (22 of 41 open) | 55% (146 of 267 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 9% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 17% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 61% (won 99% of 77) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $49 | — | No $186 |