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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | NM-P | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 82% (5500–1219, n=6719) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $52K | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #507 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 67% (123 of 183 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | NM-P | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $231 | — | No $3.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | Yes $153 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $25 | — | Yes $674 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2 | — | No $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $15K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $23 | — | No $1.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | No $67 | — | No $53 |