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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99xutuu
Record (consensus markets)48% (483–517, n=1000)55% (372–304, n=676)83% (20–4, n=24)
Consensus PnL$455K$436K$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #89PM monthly #897
Sides with the consensus53% (9 of 17 open)51% (37 of 73 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99xutuu
Houston vs. Colorado
opposite sides · consensus Colorado
Houston $5.6KColorado $2.5K—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $3.6KHouston $547—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $871Houston $3.0K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.4KUnder $202—
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
Houston $31Houston $4.4K—