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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99xutuu
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)48% (483–517, n=1000)55% (372–304, n=676)83% (20–4, n=24)
Consensus PnL$590K$455K$436K$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #21PM monthly #89PM monthly #897
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (10 of 18 open)51% (37 of 73 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99xutuu
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $33KKraken $57—
Houston vs. Colorado
opposite sides · consensus Colorado
—Houston $5.7KColorado $2.5K—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $3.6KHouston $547—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $871Houston $3.0K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.4KUnder $202—
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
—Houston $31Houston $4.4K—