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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677primmRN1testest10
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)60% (6–4, n=10)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$3.6M$14.8M$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #412
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (25 of 40 open)55% (118 of 215 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)0%
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677primmRN1testest10
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $4.2KEastern Michigan $2.0K—
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $4.2KSacramento State $765—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KUnder $242—
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800—
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.8K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $797Over $2.1K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $3—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $815—
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.5K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $597—
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $900UMass $663—
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463—
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $480UMass $457—
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $243Sacramento State $462—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $142Sacramento State $211—
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $50—
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4—
Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $4.9KCentral Michigan $3.3K—
Spread: Ball State (-1.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—UMass $3.1KUMass $1.1K—
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—UMass $3.0KUMass $804—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $179—
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $1.5KToledo $377—
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $438Toledo $773—
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $176Toledo $429—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $182Under $11—