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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Malfunction.omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)98% (12061–294, n=12355)50% (15563–15624, n=31187)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$645K$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #265PM monthly #140PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position52% (96 of 183 open)58% (68 of 117 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%96% of 11568 at avg 96¢, ROI 0%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 18% of 234)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 48% of 221)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)2% (won 56% of 177)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)95% (won 99% of 10936)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Malfunction.omnibus-076daaRN1
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $769No $6.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.6K
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $2.0K
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.7KYes $231
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $21No $1.7K
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Spurs $1.4KKings $110
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KUnder $19
CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $168Under $780
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $8Hornets $341
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
——Jurij Rodionov $10Kimmer Coppejans $330
Will CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14Yes $318
Exact Score: VVV Venlo 0 - 1 Jong PSV Eindhoven?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $6Yes $24
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $11KYes $14K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.0KUnder $2
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $7Yes $5.1K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $93No $3.7K
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Andrade
same side · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
——Maks Kasnikowski $41Maks Kasnikowski $348
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $113Under $161
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $149Under $15
SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $62Under $37
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $4No $4